This is an ongoing conversation between President Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry.
Obama: Now, tell me how we should approach Iran?
John : Sir, shortly after the September 11 attack, George Bush received an offer of help from Iran. We then shared a lot of vital information about the al-Qaida movement. Then we fell apart. Now time has come to get together again to prevent the insurgent Sunnis from taking over Baghdad. Sir, we need to build a new relation with the Iranian President Hassan Rauhani.
Obama: That is a good idea. What do you think they will suggest we do?
John : Already senior officials in Iran are in favor of military invention. They feel that this is the only way they can stabilize.
Obama: After the intervention and get rid of the resurgent Sunnis then what?
John : This is where a new problem will come up. We shouldn’t for a moment think that Iran has amended its ways. They ultimately want to join hands with the Shia’s in Iraq and this is not what we like to happen. The war between the Sunni and the Shia is ordained. They will kill each other fighting until one of them establishes its surprimacy. Once we allow the Shia to strengthen by eliminating the Sunnis, there is a high probability that the Shias may go after the kingdom of Saudi Arabia which is run by the Sunni royalty. Also if it becomes evident that we are supporting the Shias the entire Sunny population will want to settle score with us through terrorism and so we should exercise great caution.
Obama: What then is the solution?
John : Sir, we need to send some military advisors to study the ground reality. They will be able to give you a complete picture of the insurgency, the size and damage of the assault and the potential outcome. But sir, I need to caution you I am particularly concerned as to why this problem has cropped up now. I feel that there is a political agenda of Russia is behind it. We are currently planning to reduce our budget allocation to defense significantly (Please read the article in the US budget). Now this has come up. All our sanctions against them because of their Ukraine involvement not received kindly. They are also aware that our popularity rating in the country is currently is very low. So by inciting the civil war with money and weapon, we will be forced to get involved. If indeed we fall into the Russian trap, the entire world will be accusing us the big bully. Sir, my advice to you is to go slow and keep everyone guessing as to how you are going to handle the situation. We must recognize the following fundamental truths which are as follows.
- The Sunnis and the Shias is enemy forever.
- Their Jihad will involve complete elimination of the opponent namely Shia’s will want to kill all Sunnis and vice versa.
- The remaining ones must follow the Shariat law.
On our side, we will continue to talk peace as the possible solution. This will never happen while the slow attrition of the moslem community will take place. They also believe that dying for their religion is a noble cause and the parted souls will receive great honor in heaven. Talking logic and rationality to a mob who wants to lynch their enemies is a meaningless exercise.
Obama: John you seemed to know a lot about Sunnis and the Shias. Tell me when will they mature as human beings filled with compassion and understanding.
John : The peace among them is out of question forever. Look at Pakistan. The Sunnis are bombing Shia’s mosque and vice versa. It appears as though that there is a grand scheme of things. Their skirmishes will eventually become a full scale war. Sometimes I wonder whether we should have left Saddam Hussain to continue in power. During his term it was relatively peaceful. Did we make a mistake getting involved in the middle-east? Should we be continually engaged with our army’s presence? What do these wars cost to us? Really what do we gain by getting ourselves involved? These are important questions we need to address eventually. Once we become self-sufficient in energy, we need not care about these immature imbeciles. Sad as it is, let it be. The famous song “Que sera sera whatever will be will be” will aptly fit the situation.